Exceptionally Low Turnout Can Account For Polling Errors
At The American Prospect: Tweet In the home stretch, I wrote that midterm polling is far less accurate than in Presidential years. Today, in The...
Download it! It includes instructions for estimating Delta. Liveblogging will start around 8:00pm.
Useful links (will add as day goes on):
HuffPollster: Senate Election Live-Tracker.
DailyKos Elections, hour-by-hour guide.
New York Times, The Upshot, Senate tracker.
It’s not expected to be close, but shouldn’t your guide include the Michigan senate race?
Maybe I should have. However, there is no suspense in Michigan tonight. D+13.5%.
Thanks, Sam. I was just confused because you do include similar blowouts in MT, MS, and SD.
Truthfully, I used the vote-power list to construct that. It was a bit messy of me.